Sturm Graz vs Marseille — ThesisBet football research desk
Fixture facts
Competition
Europa League (EL)
Kickoff
Season
2026-27
Status
SCHEDULED
Numbers last updated
Venue form (season to date)
Sturm Graz at home
Marseille away
Win rate
43%
40%
Avg goals scored
0.98
1.20
Avg goals conceded
0.41
1.96
Clean sheet rate
57%
20%
Venue matches analysed
7
15
What these numbers are based on
Venue form uses each side's recent results in this venue role. Goal records use
the same venue window. Sample sizes are the match counts behind those averages —
thin samples stay visible rather than being padded.
Sturm Graz at home
Marseille away
Form sample
7
10
Goals sample
7
15
Model power rating (fixture context)
Sturm Graz
54.7
Average
Marseille
39.3
Struggling
Power ratings combine recent form with venue-aware goal context for this fixture. Deeper model
outputs (recommendations, expected-goals prediction, rotation and trap analysis) are part of the
Pro workspace.
Matchday proof
This fixture's matchday seal lives at
/verify/2026-10-22
(SHA-256 commit before kickoff; reveal after the matchday ends). The full index is
/verify.
This page is contextual research for the fixture — venue form, goal records,
and model power ratings. Nothing here is a tip, a pick, or a claim made before
kickoff.