Coventry vs Aston Villa — ThesisBet football research desk
Fixture facts
Competition
EFL Cup (EFL)
Kickoff
Season
2026-27
Status
SCHEDULED
Numbers last updated
Venue form (season to date)
Coventry at home
Aston Villa away
Win rate
70%
40%
Avg goals scored
1.82
1.19
Avg goals conceded
0.94
1.23
Clean sheet rate
31%
27%
Venue matches analysed
13
15
What these numbers are based on
Venue form uses each side's recent results in this venue role. Goal records use
the same venue window. Sample sizes are the match counts behind those averages —
thin samples stay visible rather than being padded.
Coventry at home
Aston Villa away
Form sample
10
10
Goals sample
13
15
Model power rating (fixture context)
Coventry
55.3
Average
Aston Villa
43.3
Struggling
Power ratings combine recent form with venue-aware goal context for this fixture. Deeper model
outputs (recommendations, expected-goals prediction, rotation and trap analysis) are part of the
Pro workspace.
Matchday proof
This fixture's matchday seal lives at
/verify/2026-09-08
(SHA-256 commit before kickoff; reveal after the matchday ends). The full index is
/verify.
This page is contextual research for the fixture — venue form, goal records,
and model power ratings. Nothing here is a tip, a pick, or a claim made before
kickoff.