ThesisBet · EFL Cup ·

Derby vs Lincoln: data-led match view

Venue form (season to date)

Derby at homeLincoln away
Win rate60%80%
Avg goals scored1.261.86
Avg goals conceded1.140.84
Clean sheet rate33%50%
Venue matches analysed1514

Model power rating (fixture context)

Derby55.3Average
Lincoln55.2Average

Power ratings combine recent form with venue-aware goal context for this fixture. Deeper model outputs (recommendations, expected-goals prediction, rotation and trap analysis) are part of the Pro workspace.

How ThesisBet's model has performed

Every model call is settled and published after the match. Nothing is claimed pre-match. See the verified Perfect Calls ledger.

Open the full interactive analysis